Trump will lose in November
President Barack Obama’s presence in the White House brought Donald Trump to the presidency and the January 6th rioters to the Capital. Kamala Harris may just be the person to bring Trump and his seething hate down to reality.
I was shocked by the assassination attempt on Trump. But Trump’s fist in the air proved that he was not a coward. He was the strongman he presented himself to be. For the first time, Trump and truthfulness aligned. He was a tough guy after all.
Then the National Republican Convention kicked off without a hitch. The conservatives were in sync. Many of us, whether democrat, independent, or republican already felt that the election was won. The Convention was the post-game show for November 2, 2024.
However, Trump made two very huge mistakes. First, was his choosing JD Vance to be his vice-presidential running mate. The second mistake, was Trump’s RNC speech. If only someone could have stopped him after a half hour, he would have been fine. He rambled for a whole hour. Suddenly, he became the one whose cognition we are questioning.
In short, Dan Quayle did for the republicans what JD Vance will likely do for the democrats: Trump will lose in November. While Trump is barely ahead in the polls, the polls are trending toward Vice President Kamala Harris. She has not even chosen her vice-presidential nominee yet.
Harris’ running mate will, in all likelihood, be a white man, a functional one, and such may help pull in independents and those moderate conservatives. Many political experts think that Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro will be Harris’ running mate. Though Mark Kelly is not a bad choice, Shapiro will close the gap further in a critical state that Harris really must win.
Of course, one cannot leave out President Joe Biden’s sacrifice in passing the torch to Kamala Harris as the more than likely democratic presidential nominee. His love of his country and lack of an offensive ego may have just saved the United States of America from a tarnished, pro-Trump Supreme Court, and a man that will run the United States like a mob family. No, this is not The Apprentice or The Sopranos. This is real life.
What ensues now is the kind of momentum and excitement among the democratic voting base that we had not seen since Obama. Though the republicans will likely find their footing and get their disturbed name-calling juggernaut turning again, it will not have the impact it was having. Trump will continue to fall in the polls. He is too afraid to debate Harris, and he will then cry that the election was stolen from him in November.
In reality, Trump messed up this time, and though Harris and the democrats have a lot to do, the nation is facing extreme urgency. What this election is really about is the unfinished business of Obama in November, 2008. The nation’s ugliness, its anger, hate, prejudice, misogyny, white supremacy and bigotry is being amplified by a few self-indulged billionaires, an egotistical Trump, and political folks that are only interested in themselves. It’s time that the instigator of all this, Former President Trump, is kicked out of politics for good. Though it remains to be seen, things are not looking good for Trump.
Earl Yarington (LMSW) is a social worker and school bus driver. He taught literature and writing for nearly 20 years and spent 3 years working in forensic social work internships with offending populations, including work at Delaware Correctional facilities and the Federal Bureau of Prisons. He has a PhD in literature and criticism (feminism/women writers) from Indiana University of Pennsylvania, Master of Social Work from Louisiana State University, and an interdisciplinary Master of Liberal Arts from Arizona State University, where he studied the impact of visual image and girlhood in media/social media. He also has an MA and BS in English from SUNY College at Brockport. The opinions and analyses that Earl writes are his own and are not necessarily the positions or views of his employers, the agencies he supports, or that of his colleagues. Reach out with comments or questions.